{"id":2256,"date":"2013-05-09T22:08:45","date_gmt":"2013-05-09T21:08:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/?p=2256"},"modified":"2017-02-21T19:21:02","modified_gmt":"2017-02-21T18:21:02","slug":"science-better-messy-than-messed-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/2013\/05\/09\/science-better-messy-than-messed-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Science: better messy than messed up"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I am fascinated by the psychology of scientific fraudsters. What drives these people?\u00a0If you are smart enough to fake results, surely you have the ability to do research properly? You should also be clever enough to realise that one day you will get caught. And you should know that fabricating results is a worthless exercise that runs completely counter to the spirit of enquiry. Why would anyone pervert their science with fakery?<\/p>\n<p>The reasons why some scientists succumb to corruption have no doubt also intrigued psychologists but of late you could be forgiven for suspecting them of being more preoccupied with <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/nobel-laureate-challenges-psychologists-to-clean-up-their-act-1.11535\">committing fraud<\/a>\u00a0than analysing it. Psychology is not the only field of inquiry tarnished by incidents of dishonesty \u2014 let&#8217;s not forget physicist <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sch\u00f6n_scandal\">Jan Hendrik Sch\u00f6n<\/a>, stem cell researcher <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Hwang_Woo-suk\">Hwang Woo-suk<\/a> or crystallographer <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/news\/2009\/091222\/full\/462970a.html\">HM Krishna Murthy<\/a> \u2014\u00a0but its practitioners may be better placed than most to analyse the origins of the problem.<\/p>\n<p>Indeed one of the\u00a0most prominent recent transgressors has provided some useful insights. In 2011 Diederik Stapel, a professor of social psychology, was suspended from his job at Tilburg University\u00a0because of <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Diederik_Stapel\">suspected fraud<\/a>; a subsequent investigation found that he had fabricated data over a number of years that affected over 55 of his publications. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/04\/28\/magazine\/diederik-stapels-audacious-academic-fraud.html?pagewanted=all&amp;_r=1&amp;\">Interviewed<\/a>\u00a0in the New York Times by Yudhijit Bhattacharjee, the disgraced psychologist was candid about where he had gone wrong:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Stapel did not deny that his deceit was driven by ambition. But it was more complicated than that, he told me. He insisted that he loved social psychology but had been frustrated by the messiness of experimental data, which rarely led to clear conclusions. His lifelong obsession with elegance and order, he said, led him to concoct sexy results that journals found attractive. \u201cIt was a quest for aesthetics, for beauty \u2014 instead of the truth,\u201d he said. He described his behavior as an addiction that drove him to carry out acts of increasingly daring fraud, like a junkie seeking a bigger and better high.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>There&#8217;s a fair bit to unpack in those few lines. In part the problem is systemic. Stapel&#8217;s allusion to journals&#8217; demands for &#8216;sexy results&#8217; is a nod to one of the corrosive effects on researchers of the construction of journal hierarchies on the shifting and unreliable sands of <a href=\"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/2012\/08\/13\/sick-of-impact-factors\/\">impact factors<\/a>. Stapel elaborates later on in the interview:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>What the public didn\u2019t realize, he said, was that academic science, too, was becoming a business. \u201cThere are scarce resources, you need grants, you need money, there is competition,\u201d he said. \u201cNormal people go to the edge to get that money. Science is of course about discovery, about digging to discover the truth. But it is also communication, persuasion, marketing. I am a salesman.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Competition for finite resources is no bad thing, helping to ensure that grants and promotions are awarded to the applicants doing the highest quality science, but the process has been undermined by over-reliance on journal impact factors as a measure of achievement. A paper in a &#8216;top&#8217; journal is now often\u00a0seen as a more important goal than the publication of the very best science because busy reviewers rely too readily on the name of the journals the applicants&#8217; papers are published in rather than the work that they report. Although &#8216;many normal people go to the edge&#8217;, it is clear that Stapel went well beyond it. At some point the self-promoting salesman overtook the discoverer of truth.<\/p>\n<p>Unfortunately the issue of publication pressures leading to poor scientific practice is hardly news. A decade ago Peter Lawrence \u2014 always worth reading on the conduct of science and scientists \u2014 analysed the &#8216;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.mrc-lmb.cam.ac.uk\/PAL\/pdf\/politics.pdf\">politics of publication<\/a>&#8216; and lamented that &#8220;when\u00a0we give the journal priority over the science, we turn ourselves into philistines in our own world.&#8221; Lawrence&#8217;s gloomy prognosis has been borne out by Fang and Casadevall&#8217;s revelation that retraction rates are <a href=\"http:\/\/iai.asm.org\/content\/79\/10\/3855.long\">strongly correlated with impact factors<\/a>. Stapel&#8217;s unmasking continues that sorry trend, one that will not be reversed until we can break our dependency on statistically dubious methods of assessment.<\/p>\n<p>Problems of dubious practice (of varying degrees of severity) are <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov\/pubmed?Db=pubmed&amp;Cmd=Retrieve&amp;list_uids=16810336&amp;dopt=abstractplus\">more widespread than most realise<\/a> but It is still true that <em>most<\/em> scientists live with the stress of competition without relinquishing their ethics. So what pushed Stapel over the edge? Good mentorship of junior scientists is recognised as a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nature.com\/nature\/journal\/v445\/n7125\/full\/445242a.html\">valuable corrective<\/a>\u00a0but the Dutch researcher&#8217;s training is not discussed in detail in the New York Times interview. He himself\u00a0seems to think that it was the interaction of his personality traits with the highly tensioned system of publication and reward that led to impropriety. His &#8220;lifelong obsession with elegance and order&#8221; appears to have been at the root of his frustration with &#8220;the\u00a0messiness of experimental data, which rarely led to clear conclusions&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Stapel is hardly alone in his desire for elegance. Many scientists will have felt the deep satisfaction of conceiving a theory that brings a graceful simplicity to unruly data or of executing experiment that confirms a new hypothesis. There is an almost visceral pleasure in such instances of congruence, and aggravation in equal measure when experiment and theory collide abortively. Thomas Henry Huxley identified the tragedy of science more than a century ago \u2014 &#8220;the slaying of a beautiful hypothesis by an ugly fact&#8221; \u2014 but it was for him something you simply had to live with.<\/p>\n<p>However, Huxley&#8217;s aphorism belies a more complex truth because science is a messy business and it is not always clear when a fact is truly ugly enough to bring down a hypothesis. The judgement can be a fine one and observations are sometimes\u00a0set aside quite properly as part of plotting an intuitive path to a new insight; but the process is clouded by the degree of conviction that the scientist has in their cherished hypothesis, so the handling of inconvenient truths can shade into malpractice.<\/p>\n<p>Crick and Watson were up-front about the need to discount some of the data that they worked with en route the structure of DNA \u2014 &#8216;some data was bound to be misleading if not plain wrong&#8217;, wrote Watson \u2014 but others have dissembled*. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Gregor_Mendel\">Mendel<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Robert_Andrews_Millikan\">Millikan<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Arthur_Eddington\">Eddington<\/a>, for example, all discarded observations that famously conflicted with their respective conclusions on heredity, the charge on the electron and the veracity of Einstein&#8217;s general theory of relativity (but see <strong>update<\/strong> below with regard to Eddington). As Michael Brooks has pointed out in <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freeradicalsbook.com\"><em>Free Radicals<\/em><\/a>, his entertaining book on rule-breaking researchers, these renowned scientists may have been vindicated by history but their shady practices were hardly justifiable at the time. Stapel&#8217;s misdemeanours of fabricating data to support his hypotheses are more extreme \u2014 he also loses out also because his theories of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/04\/28\/magazine\/diederik-stapels-audacious-academic-fraud.html?pagewanted=all&amp;_r=1&amp;\">psychological priming<\/a>\u00a0have been undermined by his unmasking \u2014 but nevertheless lie on a continuum of fraudulent practice with his scientific forebears. They all share the belief that they were <em>right<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, I can&#8217;t quite get the measure of Stapel&#8217;s behaviour. Perhaps the success that flowed from his synthetic results, given the seal of approval by peer reviewers and editors when published in prestigious journals, validated an approach that he must have known was scientifically dubious. The New York Times interview conveys a sense of regret now that he has been found out \u2014 a regret sharpened by the reaction of his wife, children and parents, forced to look anew at a man they knew so well \u2014 but why did he never question himself during the years of fabrication?<\/p>\n<p>In my mind I keep returning to Stapel&#8217;s dissatisfaction with the untidiness of experimental data. I think that might be because I have just published one of the messiest papers ever to come out of my lab and am rather pleased with it for precisely that reason. I offer this story as a counter-anecdote to the case of the errant psychologist, not as a holier-than-thou pose, but simply to give a sense of what it feels like to wrestle with real data.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/jvi.asm.org\/content\/early\/2013\/03\/07\/JVI.03151-12.abstract\">Our paper<\/a> reports the structure of a norovirus <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Protein\">protein<\/a> called <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/VPg\">VPg<\/a>. Though long supposed to be &#8216;intrinsically disordered&#8217;, our work shows that the central portion of VPg&#8217;s chain of <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Amino_acid\">amino acids<\/a>\u00a0folds up into a compact structure consisting of two helices packed tightly against one another; the two ends of the protein remain flexible. It&#8217;s nice to confound the prevailing viewpoint on VPg but that&#8217;s not the interesting bit about our new results.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a title=\"View 'Murine Norovirus VPg' on Flickr.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/42986019@N00\/8724586740\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto\" src=\"http:\/\/farm8.staticflickr.com\/7282\/8724586740_3313db36a5_n.jpg\" alt=\"Murine Norovirus VPg\" width=\"210\" height=\"320\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><br \/>\n<em style=\"font-size: 13px;text-align: center\">The VPg protein \u2014 a pair of nicely packed helices<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The interesting bit is that our structure doesn&#8217;t make sense. Not yet at any rate. Usually, working out the structure of a protein is an enormously helpful step towards figuring out how it works but that&#8217;s not the case with VPg. Our structure is a bit baffling.<\/p>\n<p>The protein plays a key role in virus replication, the process of reprogramming infected cells to make the components \u2014 proteins and copies of the viral RNA genome \u2014 needed to assemble thousands of new virus particles. That&#8217;s what infection is all about, at least as far as the virus is concerned (though the infected host often has a different perspective).<\/p>\n<p>VPg acts as seed point for the initiation of the synthesis of new viral RNA genomes. To do this it is bound by the viral polymerase, an enzyme or nanomachine that catalyses the chemical attachment of an RNA base to a specific point \u2014 a <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Amino_acid\">tyrosine side chain<\/a> \u2014 on the surface of protein. In turn this RNA base becomes the point of attachment for the next one and so on until the whole RNA chain \u2014 all 7500 bases \u2014 is complete.<\/p>\n<p>From our structure we can see that the tyrosine anchor point on VPg lies on the first helix of the core structure but the problem is that the core is too big to fit into the cavity within the <a href=\"http:\/\/vir.sgmjournals.org\/content\/92\/7\/1607.long\">polymerase<\/a> where the chemistry of RNA attachment occurs. So at first sight, VPg appears to have a structure that interferes with one of its most important functions. To solve this apparent contradiction, we came up with what I thought was a rather lovely hypothesis: we guessed that the VPg structure has to unfold to interact properly with the polymerase, supposing there might be just enough room for a single helix to get into the active site but not a tightly associated pair.<\/p>\n<p><a title=\"View 'Norovirus polymerase and Vpg' on Flickr.com\" href=\"http:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/42986019@N00\/8723434649\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto\" src=\"http:\/\/farm8.staticflickr.com\/7281\/8723434649_1a61df8e46.jpg\" alt=\"Norovirus polymerase and Vpg\" width=\"500\" height=\"301\" border=\"0\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;font-size: 13px\"><em>VPg: too bloody big to fit in the polymerase active site!<\/em><\/p>\n<p>We tested this idea by mutating our VPg to introduce amino acids changes that would destabilise its core structure, reasoning that this would make it easier for the polymerase to grab on to the protein, so increasing the rate at which it could add RNA bases. But although the changes made disrupted the protein structure, they almost invariably also <em>reduced<\/em> the efficiency of the polymerase reaction. The experiment succeeded only in generating an ugly fact to disfigure our hypothesis.<\/p>\n<p>Except it&#8217;s not dead yet \u2014 not to me. I can make excuses. The method we used to measure the rate of addition of RNA to VPg by the polymerase was less than optimal. We couldn&#8217;t work with purified components in a test tube, and so had to monitor the reaction inside living cells using an indirect readout for elongation of the RNA chain. It remains possible that this assay is confounded by the effects of other molecules in the cell. Plus, we haven&#8217;t yet been able to analyse the structure of the viral polymerase with VPg bound to it \u2014 caught in the act of adding RNA bases. Like <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Doubting_Thomas\">Thomas<\/a>, until I can really see evidence that conflicts with my supposition, I&#8217;m not ready to give up on the hypothesis that VPg has to unfold to interact properly with the polymerase.<\/p>\n<p>But it could take quite a while to develop the reagents and the techniques to do these more probing experiments and since we had already spent quite a number of years getting to this point, we wanted to publish the results.\u00a0The story we had to tell in the paper in unfinished. To some eyes it might look like a bit of a mess and I was certainly concerned that the reviewers of the <em>Journal of Virology<\/em>, where we eventually submitted the manuscript for publication, might insist that we go back to the lab to get the data to fill in the gaps. We had an interesting new structure to report but\u00a0our experimental analyses had only managed to confirm that we don&#8217;t yet know what the structure is <em>for<\/em>. We were asked some searching questions and the manuscript was improved by the subsequent editing but happily the reviewers \u2014 and the editor \u2014 still understood that progress in science is more often made in small steps than in giant leaps.<\/p>\n<p>We haven&#8217;t tied off the whole story of how VPg works in norovirus RNA replication but that&#8217;s OK.\u00a0Now that we have given an honest account of our puzzling structure, others can also apply their minds to the problem. Indeed the <a href=\"http:\/\/jvi.asm.org\/content\/early\/2013\/03\/07\/JVI.03151-12.abstract\">publication<\/a> has already sparked a couple of interesting email exchanges. The situation might still be messy but it&#8217;s far from messed up.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Update, May 12:<\/strong> As pointed out by Cormac in <a href=\"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/2013\/05\/09\/science-better-messy-than-messed-up\/#comment-23932\">two<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/2013\/05\/09\/science-better-messy-than-messed-up\/#comment-23945\">comments<\/a>\u00a0below and by Peter Coles on twitter (see my <a href=\"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/2013\/05\/09\/science-better-messy-than-messed-up\/#comment-23959\">reply<\/a> below), there appear to be strong arguments for <em>not<\/em> including Eddington in this list of dissemblers. It is ironic perhaps that a blog on messiness in science should itself become rather messy but I prefer to think it merely shows the value of open discussion.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 13px\">*Of course, Crick and Watson famously benefitted from not entirely proper access to Franklin&#8217;s and Gosling&#8217;s X-ray diffraction images of DNA.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I am fascinated by the psychology of scientific fraudsters. What drives these people?\u00a0If you are smart enough to fake results, surely you have the ability to do research properly? You should also be clever enough to realise that one day &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/2013\/05\/09\/science-better-messy-than-messed-up\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[107],"tags":[255,246,180,248,249],"class_list":["post-2256","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-scientific-life","tag-diederik-stapel","tag-fraud","tag-impact-factors","tag-norovirus","tag-structural-biology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2256","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2256"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2256\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2256"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2256"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/occamstypewriter.org\/scurry\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2256"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}