It is evident that J.D. knows scientists, or at least the twin evils of mechanical greeblies and the funding process, quite well.
I calculate that the chance of getting the LHC fully operational is about one in 160. Perhaps Bob can do a better calculation.
Hey, I’m a statistician, not a mathematician. You’ll have to play the game 1000 times and tell me the results.
And no cheating by simulating it on a computer!
Jeez. What’s the point of stats if can’t get away with not doing the experiment?
I calculate that the chance of getting the LHC fully operational is about one in 160.
It would depend on the definition of fully functional. Fully functional as in destroying the world as we know it or fully functional as in operating substantially below its design specs?